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Sunday, July 30, 2006

Residential Investment Slump: We Ain't Seen Nothin' Yet

In the previous post, I graphed quarterly Residential Investment as a percent of GDP since 1987. This graph shows a decline over the last two quarters, but if this decline in Residential Investment is similar to the previous busts (early '80s and early '90s) then ...

We ain't seen nothing yet!

The early '80s and early 90's busts saw declines of 40% and 25% in Residential Investment respectively. So far, the current decline is about 2% from the quarterly peak of 2005.
Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows annual Residential Investment, in 2000 dollars, since 1976.

2006 is an average of the first two quarters.
Read the rest and see the graphs... Calculated Risk


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