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Wednesday, November 09, 2005

d r i f t g l a s s - Peak Stoopid

Peak Stoopid.

Why not becoming a blithering pest-hole matters.

So you want another solid, principled Democratic Issue that we can run on and win?

Gotcha covered.

OK, I you’re all very smart and you all know what Peak Oil is and why you should have been reading science fiction for the last 15 years to prep your head for the Big Time Fun that’s coming. But for the drive-thru crowd (And remember, “They always fuck you at the drive-thru.”) just peeping through the shades and window shopping, let’s do a quick rundown of what Peak Oil means.

And rather that re-invent the wheel (or steal it from Apple and re-brand it “Wheels XP”), let me just hip you to two paragraphs from one of many hundreds of websites devoted to the phenomenon:

“Oil is increasingly plentiful on the upslope of the bell curve, increasingly scarce and expensive on the down slope. The peak of the curve coincides with the point at which the endowment of oil has been 50 percent depleted. Once the peak is passed, oil production begins to go down while cost begins to go up…”

“Peak Oil is also called "Hubbert's Peak," named for the Shell geologist Dr. Marion King Hubbert. In 1956, Hubbert accurately predicted that US domestic oil production would peak in 1970. He also predicted global production would peak in 1995, which it would have had the politically created oil shocks of the 1970s not delayed the peak for about 10-15 years…”

Translation: we’re running out of the stuff we need to keep everything running, and we have hit that place on the bell curve where cost is going to go up, and supply is going to go down. Which is pretty damned scary, but there it is.

Now take a breath, step back, and look at the wider Universe. A quilt first-, second- and third-world nations all propped up by mature or emerging industrial economies, globalization and power, all modulated by technology. If the car you drive now wasn’t made by robots, the car you will drive five years from now will be, beyond any doubt. It’ll be produced at a factory where mecs will do all of the musclework, and humans with a solid technology skill set will work them like my granddaddy work a swing-line during the Depression, or his father worked a mule team.

read the rest:

d r i f t g l a s s


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